Gartner, Inc
To stay competitive in the global economy, it¹s imperative that IT organisations implement a ³Chindia² strategy, according to Gartner. Gartner analysts examine how China and India are altering the future of technology and innovation in the newly released book, IT and The East, published by Harvard Business School Press.
³Today China and India are producing some of the world¹s best-trained computer science and electrical engineering graduates,² said Jamie Popkin, group vice president at Gartner and co-author of IT and The East. ³Far from being simply a source of cheap labour, both countries soon will be able to compete favourably for global business as India¹s IT services firms have done not on price, but on competence and capability.²
³The bilateral economy of China and India is in its infancy, but new momentum suggests a powerful relationship is building,² said Partha Iyengar, vice president and distinguished analyst at Gartner and co-author of IT and the East. ³China-India ŒChindia¹ enterprises will have access to complementary skills and resources and, in turn, will have the potential to lead many global markets.
China¹s IT Landscape
By 2008, Gartner says it is highly likely that China will generate intellectual property at a rate comparable to developed countries and, in the same year, actually surpass the United States as the population with the largest English language capacity (in terms of English language comprehension and proficiency, however, China will remain a challenger, not the global leader).
By 2010, Gartner anticipates that at least eight Chinese IT brands will be recognised internationally. The world will witness the birth of a real IT superpower if government restrictions are loosened and the Chinese instinctive talent for entrepreneurialism continues to be encouraged.
³Whether China emerges as a global leader in science and technology innovation relevant to the information and communications technology (ICT) industry is a pivotal issue for you as a business strategist or IT decision maker in a Western corporation,² Popkin said. ³The outcome will influence which global suppliers can establish a strong presence in China for the long haul and which of China¹s strongest domestic companies can compete in international markets.²
India¹s IT Landscape
Anyone doubting India¹s capacity to impact the future of technology need only consider the source of its IT industry. In 1995-1996, India¹s exports of IT services were worth around $1 million. In 2004, they were worth $13 billion. In 2000, India¹s share of business process outsourcing (BPO) was worth $148 million. In 2004 it was worth $3.5 billion. ³This kind of growth rate points to disruptive, challenging forces that can unseat rivals and destroy business plans,² Iyengar said.
With its challenging logistics, stifling bureaucracy, official corruption, and leftist political influences, Gartner hears its clients questioning whether India is worth the effort. These questions often come from CIOs, business strategists, and decision makers who doubt whether the benefits of an Indian connection can truly outweigh obvious risks and discomforts. The vast majority of the global Fortune 1,000 companies have agreed India is worth the effort.
³We also think India is worth the effort when the problems you are facing and opportunities you are chasing match what India can provide,² Iyengar said. ³We estimate that the largest IT services providers will add between 15,000 to 30,000 employees annually, on average, for the next several years in anticipation of continued rapid growth in global demand.²
Emergence of ³Chindia²
New joint ventures between Indian IT service firms and their Chinese counterparts are early illustrations of how a formidable Chindia economy could develop. Indian firms bring to the table world-class software expertise and leadership in global markets. Chinese partners have legions of capable, low-cost employees and greater know-how with clients in Japan, Korea and other Asian countries where English is less prevalent.
China and India hardly qualify today as trading partners by conventional standards for industrialised economies. Total bilateral trade amounted to $18.7 billion in 2005 ‹ more than twice the 2003 level. This is only a small fraction of each country's foreign trade. China's foreign trade in 2005 was $1.4 trillion, rising 23 percent from 2004. India's foreign trade in the 2005-2006 fiscal year amounted to $241 billion, up 28 percent. Yet the annual growth rate of internal ³Chindia² trade is outpacing those high-stepping totals, at an estimated 30 percent to 40 percent.
³As China and India increasingly redefine the future of technology and innovation, knowing how to map a course into that future will be a core competency,² Iyengar said.
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